Saturday, April 17, 2004

Iraq is becoming something one does not want to think about. Who wouldn't want that nation to emerge as an exemplary democracy, a shining beacon on a hill to encourage the latent and hidden democratic aspirants of the region to endeavor to spread the good word in their own countries, and add nations of the Islamic homelands to join the happy worldwide trend since the late 1980's towards rule by the people that has transformed East Asia (S. Korea, Phillipines, Indonesia, Taiwan, many others), Africa (S. Africa, Uganda, some others), Latin America (Nicaraugua, El Salvador, Peru, Argentina, many others), and of course East Europe.

But the continuing swirl of entropy and miscalculations in Iraq may undermine democracy in the region, even in poor Iran that seemed hopeful so recently with the reformist majority in its parliament that this year has been undermined by the fundamentalist Cromwellian imams. Although we might not blame that on the Bush administration, because the 'hardliners' in Iran are surely bullheaded and very resistant to reform, the attitude of the US determinators cannot have helped. In the run-up to the war in 2002-2003 the Bush administration managed to utterly alienate the mild Islamic nation of Turkey with hamfisted attempts to buy loyalty that insulted the elected officials of that nation and their constituents. Do we remember that diplomatic blunder? Did it disgust you? Does anybody remember that episode or does the bumper sticker mentality prevail in America? Turkey could be a great player in the democratization of Islam, and it is no friend of terrorism, having suffered much itself from it, but the Bush administration handwaved this asset in its blind confidence in the technologically unparalleled forces at its disposal. Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld famously wanted no more than 75,000 armed US people on the invasion of Iraq out of confidence in superior highly-expensive military tech, and imagine the level of chaos in Iraq if this view had prevailed. Not seeing beyond the victory to the problem of occupation, pure hubris, which as students of the classical Greek view know is punished harshly by the gods.

Secretary of State Powell should have planned the invasion; recall the 'Powell doctrine' of the 1991 Gulf War: Overwhelming Force! If there were 450,000 US troops on the ground in Iraq, would we have the current headlines?

The average Iraqi was happy to see the end of the Hussein regime, but then suffered from lack of electricity (air conidtioners!) and the most basic service fo decent water for too many months, and their most often quoted complaint, "security", because there was and stilll is much lawlessness, and this can be blamed for the most part on the slackness of the US occupation force. Apache helicopters can't stop looting and muggings. So many doubts were raised in the populace.

The Iraqis suffered a lot from the sanctions leveled upon Iraq after 1991, which did not effect the higher-ups with their privileges who could always obtain what they needed from the oil revenue. The UN sanctions were a cowardly shame that only hurt the average people in Iraq. If Republicans need to blame the Clinton administration they should mention this, but since they supported the sanctions and they have no ability to think they don't and they won't. The Repbulicans do not care about humanity, only themselves, their families, their neighborhoods, their country, which is ostensible plausible morality, but lacking empathy for foreigners they cause problems because the US is the globe-straddling power and its actions fall out everywhere.

The lack of understanding of other peoples in the US is disheartening. I hear all the time "How come they don't appreciate that we liberated them" about Iraqis. Well, most Irquis DO appreciate this; but as there are many points of view in America, so it is in other countries, monolithic national attitudes do not exist in any country, there are always different points of view, because people are people and do not all line up to a strereotype; different points of view exist in every society, and in the middle east some always fall under the spell of fundamentalism or remember all too well the history of Western intervention, interference, and hostility; in America the simplistic formulas become conventional wisdom; those other places are far away and stereotypes are the default; what we see on TV is what is filmed, mad demonstrations, dreadful tragic violence, angry voices. Peaceful markets and daily life - not news.









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